UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, DC 20549
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
March 6, 2008
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)
Commission File |
Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter; State of Incorporation; Address of Principal Executive Offices; and Telephone Number |
IRS Employer Identification Number | ||
1-16169 | EXELON CORPORATION (a Pennsylvania corporation) 10 South Dearborn Street P.O. Box 805379 Chicago, Illinois 60680-5379 (312) 394-7398 |
23-2990190 | ||
333-85496 | EXELON GENERATION COMPANY, LLC (a Pennsylvania limited liability company) 300 Exelon Way Kennett Square, Pennsylvania 19348-2473 (610) 765-5959 |
23-3064219 | ||
1-1839 | COMMONWEALTH EDISON COMPANY (an Illinois corporation) 440 South LaSalle Street Chicago, Illinois 60605-1028 (312) 394-4321 |
36-0938600 | ||
000-16844 | PECO ENERGY COMPANY (a Pennsylvania corporation) P.O. Box 8699 2301 Market Street Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19101-8699 (215) 841-4000
|
23-0970240 |
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
¨ | Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) |
¨ | Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) |
¨ | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) |
¨ | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) |
Section 7 Regulation FD
Item 7.01. Regulation FD Disclosure.
On March 6, 2008, Exelon Corporation (Exelon) will participate in the UBS Natural Gas, Electric Power and Coal Conference and will reaffirm its adjusted (non-GAAP) operating earnings guidance ranges for 2008 for Exelon, Exelon Generation Company, LLC (Generation), Commonwealth Edison Company (ComEd) and PECO Energy Company (PECO). Exelon will also reaffirm its GAAP earnings guidance range for 2008 for Exelon. Attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K is the investor handout to be used at the conference.
Section 9 Financial Statements and Exhibits
Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.
(d) | Exhibits. |
Exhibit No. |
Description | |
99.1 | Investor handout |
* * * * *
This combined Form 8-K is being furnished separately by Exelon, Generation, ComEd and PECO (Registrants). Information contained herein relating to any individual Registrant has been furnished by such Registrant on its own behalf. No Registrant makes any representation as to information relating to any other Registrant.
This Current Report includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, that are subject to risks and uncertainties. The factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements include those discussed herein as well as those discussed in (1) Exelons 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K in (a) ITEM 1A. Risk Factors, (b) ITEM 7. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations and (c) ITEM 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data: Note 19; and (2) other factors discussed in filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission by the Registrants. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which apply only as of the date of this Current Report. None of the Registrants undertakes any obligation to publicly release any revision to its forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this Current Report.
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, each Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
EXELON CORPORATION |
EXELON GENERATION COMPANY, LLC |
/s/ Matthew F. Hilzinger |
Matthew F. Hilzinger |
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer |
Exelon Corporation |
COMMONWEALTH EDISON COMPANY |
/s/ Robert K. McDonald |
Robert K. McDonald |
Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer and Chief Risk Officer |
Commonwealth Edison Company |
PECO ENERGY COMPANY |
/s/ Phillip S. Barnett |
Phillip S. Barnett |
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer |
PECO Energy Company |
March 6, 2008
EXHIBIT INDEX
Exhibit No. |
Description | |
99.1 | Investor handout |
UBS Natural Gas, Electric Power & Coal Conference Lost Pines, TX March 6, 2008 Exhibit 99.1 |
2 Forward-Looking Statements This presentation includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, that are subject to risks
and uncertainties. The factors that could cause actual results to
differ materially from these forward-looking statements include those discussed herein as well as those discussed in (1) Exelons 2007 Annual Report on
Form 10-K in (a) ITEM 1A. Risk Factors, (b) ITEM 7. Managements
Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations and
(c) ITEM 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data: Note 19; and (2)
other factors discussed in filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission by Exelon Corporation, Exelon Generation Company, LLC, Commonwealth Edison
Company, and PECO Energy Company (Companies). Readers are cautioned
not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which
apply only as of the date of this presentation. None of the Companies
undertakes any obligation to publicly release any revision to its forward- looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this
presentation. This presentation includes references to adjusted
(non-GAAP) operating earnings that exclude the impact of certain
factors. We believe that these adjusted operating earnings are representative of the underlying operational results of the Companies. Please refer to the appendix to the
presentation for a reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating
earnings to GAAP earnings. |
3 07 Earnings: $2,331M 08E Earnings: $2,060 - $2,260M 07 EPS: $3.45 08E EPS: $3.15 - $3.45 Total Debt (1) : $2.5B Credit Rating (2) : BBB+ The Exelon Companies Nuclear, Fossil, Hydro & Renewable Generation Power Marketing 07 Operating Earnings: $2.9B 07 EPS: $4.32 08E Operating Earnings: $2.6 - $2.9B 08 EPS Guidance: $4.00 - $4.40 Assets (1) :
$45.9B Total Debt (1) : $13.7B Credit Rating (2) :
BBB Note: All estimates represent adjusted (Non-GAAP) Operating Earnings and EPS. Exelon
Generation, ComEd and PECO estimates represent expected contribution to Exelons operating earnings EPS (per Exelon share). Refer to Appendix for
reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating EPS to GAAP EPS. (1) As of 12/31/07. (2) Standard & Poors senior unsecured debt ratings for Exelon and Generation and
senior secured debt ratings for ComEd and PECO as of 2/29/08. Pennsylvania Utility Illinois Utility 07 Earnings: $200M $507M 08E Earnings: $220 - $260M $360 - $400M 07 EPS: $0.30 $0.75 08E EPS: $0.35 - $0.40 $0.55 - $0.60 Total Debt (1) : $5.2B $3.8B Credit Ratings (2) : BBB A |
4 Multi-Regional, Diverse Company Note: Megawatts based on Generations ownership as of 12/31/07, using annual mean ratings for nuclear units (excluding Salem) and summer ratings for Salem and the fossil and hydro units. Midwest Capacity Owned: 11,388 MW Contracted: 4,271 MW Total: 15,659 MW ERCOT/South Capacity Owned: 2,222 MW Contracted: 2,917 MW Total: 5,139 MW New England Capacity Owned: 194MW Total Capacity Owned: 24,808 MW Contracted: 7,524 MW Total: 32,332 MW Electricity Customers: 1.6M Gas Customers: 0.5M Electricity Customers: 3.8M Generating
Plants Nuclear Hydro Coal/Oil/Gas Base-load Intermediate Peaker Mid-Atlantic Capacity Owned: 11,004 MW Contracted: 336 MW Total: 11,340 MW |
5 2008 Outlook 2008 (1) $0.55 - $0.60 $3.15 - $3.45 $4.00 - $4.40 $0.35 - $0.40 2008 EPS Guidance (1) Operating EPS: $4.00 - $4.40 GAAP EPS: $3.70 - $4.10 ComEd PECO Exelon Generation HoldCo/Other ~$(0.10) Exelon (1) Refer to Appendix for Key Assumptions slide supporting 2008 earnings guidance. Operating Company ranges do not add to Exelon guidance of $4.00 - $4.40/share due to rounding. Key Drivers 2007 2008 Market conditions Nuclear volume Inflationary pressures PECO CTC amortization Weather Load growth ComEd transmission settlement ComEd distribution rate case 26-29% 26-29% 21-24% 21-24% 4Q08 3Q08 2Q08 1Q08 Expected Quarterly EPS Distribution We expect first quarter 2008 operating earnings to represent 21-24% of Exelons
2008 full year operating earnings. |
6 $4,450 $2,740 $920 $700 Cash Flow from Operations (1) ($3,120) ($1,600) ($390) ($1,000) Capital Expenditures $1,220 $1,240 ($50) $300 Net Financing (excluding Dividend) (2) $2,550 $2,380 $480 $0 Cash available before Dividend ($1,310) Dividend (3) $1,240 Cash available after Dividend Exelon (4) ($ in Millions) 2008 Projected Sources and Uses of Cash (1) Cash Flow from Operations = Net cash flows provided by operating activities less net cash flows used in investing activities other than capital expenditures. (2) Net Financing (excluding Dividend) = Net cash flows used in financing activities
excluding dividends paid on common and preferred stock. (3) Assumes 2008 Dividend of $2.00 per share. (4) Includes cash flow activity from Holding Company, eliminations, and other corporate
entities. |
7 3-4% $1,000 $1,040 2-3% $1,020 $1,083 1-2% $390 $339 2-3% $650 $630 Exelon (1) NM (2) NM (2) ~15% 2008-2012 CAGR $3,120 $870 $730 2008E $2,674 $696 $573 2007 Other Nuclear Fuel CapEx 2-3% 2-3% 2008-2012 CAGR $4,270 $2,620 2008E $4,203 $2,469 2007 Exelon (1) O&M Note: Reflects operating O&M data and excludes Decommissioning impact.
(1) Includes eliminations and other corporate entities. (2) Due to varying capital investment for the period 2008-2012, the CAGR is
not meaningful. ($ in Millions) O&M and CapEx Expectations ($ in Millions) |
8 Disciplined Financial Management Announced a new Value Return Policy in December 2006 Established annual base dividend of $1.76/share; anticipated to grow modestly over time Returns excess cash and/or balance sheet capacity through share repurchases Executed a $1.25 billion accelerated share repurchase agreement in September 2007 Announced in December 2007: New share repurchase program of $500 million Incremental to $1.25 billion buyback executed in September 2007 and to any additional buybacks that may be authorized in 2008 Annual base dividend rate reset at $2.00/share (up 14%); anticipated to grow modestly over time (1) Higher base dividend reflects higher expected long-term earnings due to improved market fundamentals (1) Future dividends are subject to declaration by the Board of Directors. The Value Return Policy provides flexibility to navigate through volatile business cycles, make prudent investments in our operations, and return value to investors
|
9 Balance Sheet Capacity Growth opportunities Future unfunded liabilities Buffer against potentially lower commodity prices Share repurchases or other value return options (1) Available Cash after Dividend = Cash Flow from Operations - CapEx - Dividends +/- Net Financings. Cash Flow from Operations = Net cash flows provided by operating activities less net cash flows used in investing activities other than capital
expenditures. Net Financing (excluding Dividends) = Net cash flows used in financing activities excluding dividends paid on common stock. Assumes annualized dividend of $2.00
/share in 2008, growing 5% annually; actual amounts may vary, subject to board approval. (2) Available Cash after Dividend excludes any benefit from potential carbon impact .
(3) See FFO Calculation and Ratios definitions slide in Appendix. FFO / Debt includes: debt equivalents for purchased power agreements, unfunded pension and other postretirement benefits obligations, capital adequacy for energy trading, and related imputed interest. (4) Provided solely to illustrate possible future outcomes that are based on a number of
different assumptions, all of which are subject to uncertainties and should not be relied upon as a forecast of future results. 2008 - 2012 Cumulative Available Cash (Illustrative) (4) 2008 - 2012 Potential Uses of Available Cash Exelon expects to create substantial incremental balance sheet capacity over the next five years, based on planning assumptions |
10 ComEd and PECO CTC Electric Transmission Electric Distribution Gas Numbers may not sum due to rounding (1) Illustrative. Provided solely to illustrate possible future outcomes that are based on a number of different assumptions, all of which are subject to uncertainties and should not be relied upon as a forecast of future results. (2) ComEd equity based on definition provided in most recent ICC distribution rate case
order (book equity less goodwill). Book equity ratio in 2007 was 58%. (3) ComEd 2008 estimated operating earnings assume full $361M revenue increase granted in current distribution rate case. 6.0 6.6 8.0 1.8 2.0 2.2 $220 - $260M (3) $200M ~5.5 - 6.5% 5.3% 45% 45% 7.8 8.6 ~$460 - $500M ~10 - 11% ~45% 2007E 2008E 2011 (1) 10.2 6.9 6.4 2007E 2008E 2011 (1) 4.9 ~$245 - $270M ~10 - 11% ~50% $507M Not applicable due to transition rate structure $360 - $400M Operating Earnings ROE Equity (2) 2007A 2007A 2.6 2.8 3.1 0.5 0.5 0.6 2.7 2.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 Average Annual Rate Base ($ in Billions) |
11 |
12 ComEd 2008 Operating EPS Contribution ComEds operating earnings are expected to increase in 2008 primarily due to
execution of its Regulatory Recovery Plan 2007 $200M RNF O&M Depreciation / Amortization Interest Expense Other $0.35 - $0.40 $0.30 $0.19 $0.04 ($0.02) $(0.03) 2008 (1) $220M - $260M (2) $(0.08) Key Items: Storms: $0.03 Uncollectible accounts: $0.02 ($0.04) Weather $ / Share NOTE: Refer to Key Assumptions slide in Appendix. (1) Estimated contribution to Exelons operating earnings guidance. (2) Assumes full $361M revenue increase granted in current distribution rate case and
effective 10/1/08. Key Items: Distribution case (2) : $0.09 Transmission revenue: $0.04 Load growth: $0.03 Key Items: Income tax settlements: $(0.07) |
13 (1) Based on 2006 test year, including pro forma capital additions through 3Q 2008;
represents a $1,550 million increase from 2006 ICC order. (2) Includes
increased depreciation expense associated with capital additions. (3)
Requested cap structure does not include goodwill; ICC docket 05-0597 allowed 10.045% ROE, 42.86% equity ratio and 8.01% ROR (return on rate base). (4) Primarily includes increases in pension and other post-retirement benefits costs
and effects of a reclassification of rental revenue of $20 million, which is offset in Other adjustments. (5) Includes taxes other than income, regulatory expenses, and reductions for other
revenues and load growth. (6) Or approximately $359 million adjusted for
normal weather. ComEd Delivery Service Rate Case Filing (Docket No. 07-566) $361 (6) Total ($2,049 revenue requirement) $(51) Other adjustments (5) $48 O&M expenses $99 Administrative & General expenses (4) $50 Capital Structure (3) : ROE - 10.75% / Common Equity - 45.11% / ROR - 8.55% $215 (2) Rate Base: $7,071 (1) Requested Revenue Requirement Increase ($ in millions) Revenue increase needed to recover significant distribution system investment and
represents an important step in ComEds regulatory recovery plan
|
14 ComEd Delivery Service Rate Case Schedule Filed: October 17, 2007 Staff & Intervenor Direct Testimony: February 11, 2008 Staff proposal: $112 million revenue increase $5.7 billion rate base Common equity ratio: 45.04%, ROE: 10.30%, ROR: 8.34% ComEd Rebuttal Testimony: March 12 Staff & Intervenor Rebuttal Testimony: April 8 ComEd Surrebuttal Testimony: April 21 Hearings: April 28 - May 5 Initial Briefs: May 29 Reply Briefs: June 12 Administrative Law Judge (ALJ) Order expected: July Final Illinois Commerce Commission (ICC) Order expected: September 2008 |
15 15 15 ComEd Transmission Rate Case ($ in millions) FERC Filing 3/1/07 Preliminary Order 6/5/07 FERC Orders 1/08 (1) Total Revenue Requirement (in year 1) $415 $387 $390 (2) Revenue Requirement increase (in year 1) $146 $116 (3) $120 Rate Base (in year 1) $1,826 $1,744 $1,847 (4) Common Equity Ratio 58% 58% 58% (5) Return on Equity (ROE) (6) 12.20% 11.70% + 0.50% RTO adder 12.20% 11.70% + 0.50% RTO adder 11.50% 11.0% + 0.50% RTO adder Return on Rate Base (ROR) 9.87% 9.87% 9.40% (1) Settlement agreement filed 10/5/07, approved by FERC on 1/16/08. Also, on
1/18/08 FERC granted request on rehearing for incentive on West Loop Phase
II project. (2) Includes settlement increase of $93 million + project
incentives of $27 million, eff. 5/1/07. (3) Rates under preliminary order
effective 5/1/07, subject to refund. (4) Excludes pension asset;
6.51% debt return allowed in operating expenses, includes $175 million
construction work in progress (CWIP) for West Loop project. (5) Equity cap
of 58% for 2 years, declining to 55% by 2011. (6) ROE is fixed and not
subject to annual updating. RTO = Regional Transmission
Organization (Docket Nos. ER07-583-000 &
EL07-41-000) Rate settlement establishes reasonable framework for
timely recovery of transmission investment on an annual basis through
formula rates |
16 16 Formula Transmission Rate Annual Update Process Annual filing by May 15th will update the current year revenue requirement and true-up prior year to actual: Update current year Estimate current year revenue requirement using updated costs based on prior year actual
data per FERC Form 1 plus projected plant additions for the current calendar
year True-up prior year Perform a true-up of the prior years rates by comparing prior year actual data
per FERC Form 1 to the estimate used for that year;
over/under-recoveries for the prior year are collected in the current
year Rates take effect on June 1st Interested parties have 180 days to submit information requests and raise concerns; unresolved concerns go before FERC for resolution The combination of annual updating and true-up virtually eliminates regulatory
lag |
17 Financial Swap Agreement Financial Swap Agreement between ComEd and Exelon Generation promotes price stability for residential and small business customers Designed to dovetail with ComEds remaining auction contracts for energy,
increasing in volume as the auction contracts expire Will cover about 60% of the energy that ComEds residential and small business customers use Includes ATC baseload energy only Does not include capacity, ancillary services or congestion 3,000 $53.48 January 1, 2013 - May 31, 2013 3,000 $52.37 January 1, 2012 - December 31, 2012 3,000 $51.26 January 1, 2011 - December 31, 2011 3,000 $50.15 June 1, 2010 - December 31, 2010 2,000 $50.15 January 1, 2010 - May 31, 2010 2,000 $49.04 June 1, 2009 - December 31, 2009 1,000 $49.04 January 1, 2009 - May 31, 2009 1,000 $47.93 June 1, 2008 - December 31, 2008 Notional Quantity (MW) Fixed Price ($/MWH) Portion of Term |
18 |
19 PECO 2008 Operating EPS Contribution PECOs operating earnings are expected to decrease in 2008 primarily due to
increasing CTC amortization expense 2007 $507M 2008 (1) $360M - $400M $0.75 ($0.08) $0.01 ($0.03) ($0.06) $0.55 - $0.60 RNF O&M CTC Amortization / Depreciation Other NOTE: Refer to Key Assumptions slide in Appendix. (1) Estimated contribution to Exelons operating earnings guidance.
($0.03) Weather $0.02 Interest Expense $ / Share Key Items: Tax settlements: $(0.08) |
20 Pennsylvania Snapshot Governor Rendells Energy Independence Strategy, introduced in February 2007, continues to be focus of legislative activity. Legislation aimed at reducing energy costs, increasing clean energy resources, reducing reliance on foreign fuels, expanding energy production in PA Comprehensive bills dealing with procurement, and rate mitigation remain in committee Modest action on other key bills: Energy Fund bill passed in Senate; House passed an Efficiency /Demand-side Response bill. Special Session on Energy runs concurrent with Regular Session which continues thru Nov 08. Current State of Play Governor continues to press for Energy Independence Fund and measures to mitigate energy prices Legislators concerned with cost of Governor's initiatives, no new taxes Rate freeze bill being considered in House, but little momentum Industry coalition working together to develop a comprehensive package Positions of Stakeholders Stakeholder outreach Working with industry coalition Negotiating legislative proposals with Administration and legislative leadership on key provisions: Procurement rules Rate increase phase-in/deferral Smart meters and real time pricing Energy efficiency and demand-side management programs Participating directly or through industry associations in legislative hearings and informational meetings PECO Actions |
21 Key Themes of Legislative Proposals Competitive procurement process utilizing auctions, RFPs, spot purchases and bilateral contracts, with provisions for long-term supply contracts Full and current cost recovery for default service provider (DSP) Largest industrial customers may negotiate terms and rates for retail supply
with DSP, subject to PUC review DSP must offer residential and small commercial customers a rate that changes no more frequently than annually with reconciliation for under or over-recovery Must file a rate phase-in plan for all customers; cap annual increases for
defined period and defer any excess for future recovery over additional
defined period Phase-in plans - both pre and post - are to be opt-in for customer, provide utility and/or customer with recovery of carrying costs on pre-pay and/or
deferred balance Securitization of deferred balance and carrying charges authorized Establish minimum usage reduction and peak load reduction targets Competing legislative proposals call for either DSP-run programs or State-wide Program Administrator with network of 3 party suppliers Cost cap proposed, with DSP authorized to fully recover expenses Full deployment of smart meters within 9-10 years Full recovery for net costs of smart meter deployment through base rates or through automatic recovery mechanism Must submit a time-of-use rate plan with voluntary customer participation by
the end of rate cap period Procurement Smart Meters Rate Phase-in Program Demand Side Response & Energy Efficiency (DSR/EE) |
22 2.63 2.63 0.48 0.48 2.41 6.00 10.54 PECO Average Electric Rates (1) System Average Rates based upon Restructuring Settlement Rate Caps on Energy and Capacity increased from original settlement by 1.6% to reflect the roll-in of increased Gross Receipts Tax and $0.02/kWh for Universal Service Fund Charge and Nuclear Decommissioning Cost Adjustment. System Average Rates also adjusted for sales mix based on current sales forecast. Assumes continuation of current Transmission and Distribution Rates. (2) Energy/Capacity Price is an average of the results for residential (10.51¢/kWh) and small commercial customers (10.58¢/kWh) from the second round of PPL Auction held 10/07. Assumes continuation of current Transmission and Distribution
Rates. 2011 2008 2010 Energy / Capacity Competitive Transition Charge (CTC) Transmission Distribution 11.52¢ (1) Unit Rates (¢/kWh) +18% 13.65¢ (2) CTC terminates at year-end 2010 Energy / Capacity price expected to increase; price will reflect associated full requirements costs Using latest PPL auction for 2010 as a proxy (10.5¢/kWh) results in a system average rate increase of ~18% PECOs 2011 full requirements price expected to differ from PPL due, in part, to the timing of the procurement and locational differences Rates will vary by customer class and will depend on legislation and approved procurement model Post Transition Electric Restructuring Settlement Projected Rate Increase Based on PPL Auction Results (Illustrative) |
23 |
24 Exelon Generation 2008 Operating EPS Contribution Exelon Generations 2008 earnings are impacted primarily by increased planned
refueling outages and higher nuclear fuel expense 2007 $2,331M 2008 (1) $2,060M - $2,260M ($0.09) $(0.15) $0.13 $3.15 - $3.45 RNF O&M Other (2) $30M +/- 500 Btu/KWh ATC Heat Rate $5.5M +/- $1/mmBtu Gas 2008 Market Sensitivities (After-Tax) Depreciation $(0.02) $3.45 $ / Share NOTE: Refer to Key Assumptions slide in Appendix. (1) Estimated contribution to Exelons operating earnings guidance.
(2) Primarily reflects the change in shares outstanding. Key Items: Nuclear volume: $(0.10) Nuclear fuel expense: $(0.06) State Line buyout: $(0.03) Market / portfolio: $0.12 Interest Expense $(0.03) Key Items: Inflation: $(0.07) Addl refueling outages: $(0.06) Nuclear security: $(0.02) |
25 Large, low-cost, low-emissions, exceptionally well-run nuclear fleet Complementary and flexible fossil and hydro fleet Improving power market fundamentals (commodity prices, heat rates, and capacity values) End of below-market contracts in Pennsylvania beginning 2011 Potential carbon restrictions Value Proposition Exelon Generation Continue to focus on operating excellence, cost management, and market discipline Support competitive markets Pursue nuclear & hydro plant license extension and strategic investment in material condition Maintain industry-leading talent Protect Value Pursue nuclear plant uprates (~200MW by 2012) and investigate potential for more Pursue nuclear Construction and Operating License in Texas Capture increased value of low-carbon generation portfolio Grow Value Exelon Generation is the premier unregulated generation company positioned to capture market opportunities and manage risk |
26 World-Class Nuclear Operator 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Exelon Industry Note: Exelon data prior to 2000 represent ComEd-only nuclear fleet. Sources: Platts, Nuclear News, Nuclear Energy Institute and Energy Information Administration (Department of Energy). EXC 93.5% (1) (1) Exelon values represent 2003-2007 period. Average Capacity Factor Range of Fleet 2-Yr Avg Capacity Factor (2002-2006) Sustained production excellence 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 Operator (# of Reactors) Range 5-Year Average |
27 -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 PJM-West PJM-East NI-Hub ERCOT NYMEX (1) Positively Exposed to Market Dynamics Note: Illustrative estimate. Overnight, all-in capital cost without interest
during construction. 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Carbon Credit ($/Tonne) Various 3rd party estimates New Generation Installed Cost Combined Cycle Gas Turbine Coal Nuclear 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 (1) As of 2/28/08. Reserve Margins Declining Natural Gas Prices Remaining High Construction Costs Escalating Carbon Legislation Progressing Europe Carbon-Trading 2012: $36.10/tonne Bingaman-Specter 2012: $12/tonne EIA Carbon Case 2010: $31/tonne Lieberman-Warner Possible $20 to $40/tonne $5 $6 $7 $8 $9 $10 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 |
28 2008 Open EBITDA 2008 EBITDA 2008 Un-hedged EBITDA (No Carbon) $ Millions $4,119 ~$3,900 2007 EBITDA (1) Un-hedged EBITDA assumes that existing hedges (including the PECO load, Illinois
auction load, ComEd financial swap, and other sales) are priced at market prices as of 7/31/07. (2) 1 tonne = 2,205 lbs. Note: Refer to Appendix for EBITDA reconciliation slide. ~$5,350 169.10 Eastern MAAC Capacity Price ($/MW-day) 82.40 Rest-of-Market Capacity Price ($/MW-day) 5.60 NI-Hub Implied Heat Rate (mmBtu/MWh) 6.60 PJM W-Hub Implied Heat Rate (mmBtu/MWh) 47.00 NI-Hub ATC Price ($/MWh) 62.90 PJM W-Hub ATC Price ($/MWh) 8.50 Henry Hub Gas Price ($/mmBtu) 2008 Un-hedged EBITDA (1) Assumptions ~$1,000M + $10/Tonne Carbon Price (2) ~$80M +/- $10/MW-Day Capacity Price ~$750M +/- 500 Btu/KWh ATC Heat Rate ~$560M +/- $1/mmBtu Gas Price (Pre-Tax Impact) 2008 Un-hedged EBITDA (1) Sensitivities $2,060 - $2,260 Operating Earnings: $2,331 Hedged 2007A Hedged 2008E Un-hedged 2008E (1) Un-hedged (Open) EBITDA plus upside from energy, capacity, and carbon
drives Exelon Generations value |
29 2009 2012 Earnings Drivers End of PECO PPA (2011+) Carbon (2012+) Market conditions - Heat rate - Capacity prices - New build costs Nuclear uprates Higher O&M costs Higher nuclear fuel costs Higher interest and depreciation expense 2008 Earnings Drivers Market conditions - Capacity prices - Marginal losses More nuclear outages Higher nuclear fuel costs Higher O&M costs State Line buyout Higher interest and depreciation expense Exelon Generation Operating Earnings 2007 (1) 2012 2008E (1) (1) 2007 and estimated 2008 contribution to Exelon operating earnings; see Appendix for
reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating EPS to GAAP EPS. $2,331M $2,060M - $2,260M Exelon Generation is poised for significant earnings growth driven by improving market
fundamentals, the end of the Pennsylvania transition period, and carbon legislation |
30 Hedging Targets (1) Percent financially hedged is our estimate of the gross margin that is not at risk
due to a market price drop and assuming normal generation operating conditions. The formula is: gross margin at the 5 percentile / expected gross margin. Power Team employs commodity hedging strategies to optimize Exelon Generations earnings: Maintain length for opportunistic sales Use cross commodity option strategies to enhance hedge activities Time hedging around view of market fundamentals Supplement portfolio with load following products Use physical and financial fuel products to manage variability in fossil generation output Target Ranges 50% - 70% 70% - 90% 90% - 98% Above the range* Current Position Upper end of range Midpoint of range Financial Hedging Range (1) * Due to ComEd financial swap Prompt Year (2008) Second Year (2009) Flexibility in our targeted financial hedge ranges allows us to be opportunistic while
mitigating downside risk Third Year (2010) |
31 125 127 129 131 133 135 137 139 141 143 145 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Note: Net nuclear generation data based on ownership interest; includes
Salem. 18 or 24 months Duration: ~24 days Nuclear Refueling Cycle 2008 is an exception: Salem steam generator replacement 3 more outages than 2007 ~2,600 GWh less than 2007 $100-$110M negative after-tax impact 2008 Refueling Outage Impact 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Exelon (excludes Salem) Industry Actual Target Impact of Refueling Outages Refueling Outage Duration Nuclear Output Based on the refueling cycle, we will conduct 12 refueling outages in 2008, versus 9 in 2007, and 10 to 11 in a typical year |
32 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Effectively Managing Nuclear Fuel Costs Enrichment 39% Fabrication 17% Nuclear Waste Fund 22% Tax/Interest 2% Conversion 3% Uranium 17% 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Nuclear Fuel Expense (Amortization + Spent Fuel) Nuclear Fuel Capex 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Exelon Average Reload Price Projected Market Price (Term) Note: Excludes costs reimbursed under the settlement agreement with the DOE. Market source: UxC composite forecasts. 2008 2011: 100% hedged in volume 2012: ~40% hedged in volume All charts exclude Salem, except Projected Total Nuclear Fuel Spend. Projected Exelon Uranium Demand Components of Fuel Expense in 2008 Projected Exelon Average Uranium Cost vs. Market Projected Total Nuclear Fuel Spend |
33 Market Price Sensitivities ~$60M +/- 500 Btu/KWh ATC Heat Rate ~$10M +/- $1/mmBtu Gas Price (Pre-Tax Impact) 2008 EBITDA Sensitivities ($80M) ($40M) ($20M) ($5M) - Expense (Pre-Tax Impact)
($335M) ($160M) ($100M) ($60M) - Capital Expenditures 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 - $50/lb $40M $15M $10M $5M - Expense (Pre-Tax Impact)
$280M $85M $30M $20M - Capital Expenditures 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 + $50/lb (1) Excludes Salem. Note: Refer to Appendix for EBITDA reconciliation slide. Uranium Sensitivity (1) |
34 Total Portfolio Characteristics 41,350 41,100 23,200 23,100 5,100 120,000 125,100 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 2007A 2008E Actual Hedges & Open Position ComEd Swap IL Auction PECO Load 189,300 189,650 140,400 138,100 31,800 33,800 17,450 17,400 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 2007A 2008E Forward / Spot Purchases Fossil & Hydro Nuclear 189,300 189,650 Total Supply (GWh) Total Sales (GWh) The value of our portfolio resides in our nuclear fleet |
35 35 Reliability Pricing Model Auction 40.80 197.67 111.92 174.29 174.29 148.80 102.04 191.32 191.32 Rest of Market Eastern MAAC MAAC + APS
MAAC 2007/2008
2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2007 / 2008 2008 / 2009 2009 / 2010 2010 / 2011 in MW Capacity (2) Obligation Capacity (2) Obligation Capacity (2) Obligation Capacity (2) Obligation Rest of Market 16,000 (4) 6,600-6,800 14,500 (5) 6,600-6,800 12,700 4,750-4,950 (6) 12,700 0 Eastern MAAC 9,500 9,500-9,800 (3) 9,500 9,550-9,850 (3) 9,500 9,750-9,950 (3) MAAC + APS (7) 1,500 0 MAAC 11,000 9,300-9,500 (3)(8) (1) All values are approximate and not inclusive of wholesale transactions.
(2) All capacity values are in installed capacity terms (summer ratings) located in the areas. (3) EMAAC obligation consists of load obligations from PECO and BGS. The PPL obligation (7) MAAC = Mid-Atlantic Area Council; APS = Allegheny Power
System. begins January 2010 and ends December 2010. (4) Removing State Line from the supply in October 2007 reduces this by 515 MW.
(5) 08/09 Capacity supply decreased due to roll-off of several purchase power
agreements (PPAs). (6) In 09/10, obligation is reduced due to roll-off
of part of ComEd auction load obligation in May 2009. (8) PECO PPA expires
December 2010. Region not applicable for this auction period PJM RPM Auction ($/MW-day) Exelon Generation Participation within PJM Reliability Pricing Model (1) |
36 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Carbon Value Midwest ~90,000 GWhs in Midwest nuclear portfolio ~55% of time coal on the margin ~40% of time gas on the margin Mid-Atlantic ~50,000 GWhs in Mid-Atlantic nuclear portfolio ~45% of time coal on the margin ~50% of time gas on the margin Assumes Open Position (1) Carbon Credit ($/Tonne) (1) Carbon sensitivity excludes ComEd SWAP and upside of Kincaid/Elwood due to contract
expiration in 2012. Assumes below $45/tonne carbon cost, no carbon reduction technology (e.g., sequestration) is economical. (2) As of 2/29/08. (3) The EIA Carbon Stabilization Case (Case 4) dated March 2006, EIA report number SR/OIAF/2006-1. (4) Low Carbon Economy Act initial Technology Accelerator Payment (TAP) price in 2012. Allowance price increases at 5% above the rate of inflation thereafter. Carbon Value Climate change legislation is expected to drive substantial gross margin expansion
at Exelon Generation Europe Carbon Trading 2012: $36.10/tonne (2) EIA Carbon Case (3) 2010: $31/tonne Lieberman-Warner Possible $20 to $40/tonne Bingaman-Specter (4) 2012: $12/tonne |
37 Potential Nuclear New Build Intend to file Construction and Operating License (COL) for plant in Texas by end of 2008 Preserves option to participate in Energy Policy Act incentives Long-lead material for dual unit ESBWR has been reserved Will use GE Hitachi Nuclear Energy Americas new generation of reactor technology Texas is attractive market for new nuclear selected site in Victoria County Growing demand for baseload power, robust market prices State and local support for new nuclear Existing Exelon presence in Texas Exelons phased approach allows for go/no-go decisions at major funding/commitment milestones Exelons conditions for new build remain unchanged: the economics must be right Nuclear new build would capitalize on improving fundamentals, high gas prices,
and Exelons core strength in nuclear operations
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38 Energy Policy Act Nuclear Incentives $18 per MWh, 8 year PTC for first 6,000 MWe of new capacity Cap of $125M per 1,000 MWe of capacity per year Protects against a decrease in market prices and revenues earned Benefit will be allocated/ prorated among those who: File COL by year-end 2008 Begin construction (first safety- related concrete) by 1/1/2014 Place unit into service by 1/1/2021 Production Tax Credit (PTC) Results in ability to obtain non- recourse project financing Up to 80% of the project cost, repayment within 30 years or 90% of the project life Timing of application subject to DOE solicitations Congress has granted authority to issue guarantees totaling $18.5B though 9/30/09 Cost of credit subsidy is still uncertain Government Loan Guarantee Insurance protecting against regulatory and litigation-related delays in commissioning a completed plant Eligible costs include principal and interest on debt coverage and the incremental cost of replacement power First two reactors each receive 100% of covered costs up to $500M The next four reactors each receive 50% of covered costs incurred after six months of delay, up to $250M Regulatory Delay Backstop Energy Policy Act provides financial incentives and reduced risk by way of production tax credits and loan guarantees |
39 Current Market Prices 1. 2004, 2005, 2006 and 2007 are actual settled prices. 2. Real Time LMP (Locational Marginal Price). 3. Next day over-the-counter market. 4. Average NYMEX settled prices. 5. 2008 information is a combination of actual prices through 2/29/08 and market prices for
the balance of the year. 6. 2009 information is forward market prices as of 2/29/08. Units 2004 1 2005 1 2006 1 2007 1 2008 5 2009 6 PRICES (as of February 29th, 2008) PJM West Hub ATC ($/MWh) 42.35 2 60.92 2 51.07 59.76 74.29 75.06 PJM NiHub ATC ($/MWh) 30.15 2 46.39 2 41.42 2 45.47 57.27 58.67 NEPOOL MASS Hub ATC ($/MWh) 52.13 2 76.65 2 59.68 2 66.72 84.37 85.17 ERCOT North On-Peak ($/MWh) 49.53 3 76.90 3 60.87 3 59.44 83.06 83.05 Henry Hub Natural Gas ($/MMBTU) 5.85 4 8.85 4 6.74 4 6.95 9.36 9.36 WTI Crude Oil ($/bbl) 41.48 4 56.62 4 66.38 4 69.72 98.80 98.37 PRB 8800 ($/Ton) 5.97 8.06 13.04 9.67 15.82 17.01 NAPP 3.0 ($/Ton) 60.25 52.42 43.87 47.54 76.44 77.06 ATC HEAT RATES (as of February 29th, 2008) PJM West Hub / Tetco M3 (MMBTU/MWh) 6.40 6.30 6.98 7.68 7.14 7.17 PJM NiHub / Chicago City Gate (MMBTU/MWh) 5.52 5.52 6.32 6.65 6.10 6.25 ERCOT North / Houston Ship Channel (MMBTU/MWh) 7.53 8.21 8.28 7.80 7.96 7.76 2 |
40 40 Market Price Snapshot As of February 27, 2008. Source: OTC quotes and electronic trading system. Quotes are
daily. 2008 prices are Mar-Dec. Forward NYMEX Natural Gas PJM-West and Ni-Hub On-Peak Forward Prices PJM-West On-Peak Implied Heat Rate Ni-Hub On-Peak Implied Heat Rate 2008 2009 2009 2008 2008 PJM-West 2009 PJM-West 2009 Ni-Hub 2008 Ni-Hub 2008 2009 7.4 7.9 8.4 8.9 9.4 Mar- 07 Apr- 07 May- 07 Jun- 07 Jul- 07 Aug- 07 Sep- 07 Oct- 07 Nov- 07 Dec- 07 Jan- 08 Feb- 08 8.84 9.04 9.24 9.44 9.64 9.84 10.04 10.24 10.44 10.64 10.84 Mar- 07 Apr- 07 May- 07 Jun- 07 Jul- 07 Aug- 07 Sep- 07 Oct- 07 Nov- 07 Dec- 07 Jan- 08 Feb- 08 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 Mar- 07 Apr- 07 May- 07 Jun- 07 Jul- 07 Aug- 07 Sep- 07 Oct- 07 Nov- 07 Dec- 07 Jan- 08 Feb- 08 7 7.2 7.4 7.6 7.8 8 8.2 8.4 8.6 8.8 Mar- 07 Apr- 07 May- 07 Jun- 07 Jul- 07 Aug- 07 Sep- 07 Oct- 07 Nov- 07 Dec- 07 Jan- 08 Feb- 08 |
41 41 Market Price Snapshot 2008 2009 2008 2009 As of February 27, 2008. Source: OTC quotes and electronic trading system. Quotes are
daily. 2008 prices are Mar-Dec. 2008 2009 Houston Ship Channel Natural Gas Forward Prices ERCOT North ATC Forward Prices ERCOT North ATC v. Houston Ship Channel Implied Heat Rate 7.1 7.6 8.1 8.6 9.1 9.6 Mar- 07 Apr- 07 May- 07 Jun- 07 Jul- 07 Aug- 07 Sep- 07 Oct- 07 Nov- 07 Dec- 07 Jan- 08 Feb- 08 7.5 7.7 7.9 8.1 8.3 8.5 8.7 Mar- 07 Apr- 07 May- 07 Jun- 07 Jul- 07 Aug- 07 Sep- 07 Oct- 07 Nov- 07 Dec- 07 Jan- 08 Feb- 08 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 Mar- 07 Apr- 07 May- 07 Jun- 07 Jul- 07 Aug- 07 Sep- 07 Oct- 07 Nov- 07 Dec- 07 Jan- 08 Feb- 08 |
42 Exelon Climate Change |
43 Advancing Exelons Low-Carbon Strategy Lobbying in favor of climate change legislation that is national, mandatory and economy-wide Taking voluntary action to reduce our greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions 8% from 2001 levels by 2008 Developing a comprehensive low-carbon energy strategy Goal will be to reduce, displace or offset Exelons entire carbon footprint by
2020 Expanding our low-carbon resources Providing customers with green products and services Being a model of green operations |
44 Recognized Environmental Leadership Named to the 2006/2007 and 2007/2008 Dow Jones Sustainability North America Index Named to Climate Disclosure Leadership Index of the Carbon Disclosure Project in 2005, 2006 and 2007 Signatory to the Global Roundtable on Climate Change and the Ceres/Investor Network on Climate Risk statements Member of the United States Climate Action Partnership (USCAP) Corporate headquarters awarded Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED ® ) Platinum Commercial Interiors certification by the U.S. Green Building Council |
45 Exelon and Federal Climate Change Legislation Actively involved in the climate debate in Washington, D.C. Lobbying in favor of enacting legislation that is national,
mandatory and economy-wide Favors a cap-and-trade system over a carbon tax Believes that any allocation scheme should include allowances for distribution companies to help offset the cost of carbon for the end-user To limit near-term economic impacts, supports a cost containment mechanism that supports a market price for carbon that increases over time |
46 Reduction Goals |
47 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Advanced Coal Generation Distributed Energy Resources Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles Carbon Capture & Storage Nuclear Generation Renewables Efficiency Technology Source: Electric Power Research Institute, 2007 Summer Seminar CO2 Reductions Demand Multiple Generation Technologies EIA Base Case 2007 The technical potential exists for the U.S. electricity sector to significantly reduce CO2 emissions over the coming decades No one technology will be a silver bullet a portfolio of technologies will be needed Much of the needed technology is not available yet substantial R&D, demonstration, and deployment are required To stabilize emissions at 1990 levels, multiple technologies and intensive R&D will be required |
48 Status of Legislative Initiatives Several pending Legislative proposals and vehicles are gaining support in Washington: Lieberman-Warner (S. 2191, Americas Climate Security Act of 2007) Approved by U.S. Senate Environment and Public Works Committee Slated for action by the full U.S. Senate in the Spring Needs 60 votes to break expected filibuster and pass Economy-wide: All major GHG producing sectors Seeks to reduce GHG to the 2005 level by 2012; phases to 70% below the 2005 level by
2050 Points of regulation: Electric power sector large coal generators; Natural gas natural gas processors and importers; Industrial sector large facilities emitting more than 10,000 tonnes per year Free allowances include: 10% to states, 19% to generators (phase out in 2031); 10% to industry; 9% to electric distribution companies, to benefit their customers; 2% to gas distribution
companies, to benefit their customers Creates a Carbon Market Efficiency Board (Carbon Fed) with limited
authority to oversee market Dingell-Boucher White Papers Scope of a Cap-and-Trade Program Competitiveness Concerns/Engaging Developing Countries Appropriate Roles for Different Levels of Government More white papers in the works Expect a draft bill sometime this summer Dingell has characterized the issue as the hardest thing (hes) ever dealt with in his 52+ years in Congress Boucher says he is committed to enacting legislation this year All the major Presidential contenders (McCain, Clinton and Obama) support economy-wide, mandatory cap-and-trade legislation
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49 Appendix |
50 Key Assumptions 37.7 1.2 2.6 23.86 115.37 6.65 6.84 45.47 7.68 7.78 59.76 6.95 148,307 41,343 (5) 189,650 94.5 2007A 37.2 1.6 1.2 82.40 169.10 5.60 8.40 47.00 6.60 9.50 62.90 8.50 148,200 41,100 (5) 189,300 93.1 2008E 6.56 8.41 Chicago City Gate Gas Price ($/mmBtu) 7.31 9.67 Tetco M3 Gas Price ($/mmBtu) 37.0 37.5 Effective Tax Rate (%) (4) 0.6 1.3 ComEd 1.2 0.9 PECO Electric Delivery Growth (%) (3) 1.75 0.13 PJM West Capacity Price ($/MW-day) 1.75 0.13 PJM East Capacity Price ($/MW-day) 6.32 5.52 NI Hub Implied ATC Heat Rate (mmbtu/MWh) 41.42 46.39 NI Hub ATC Price ($/MWh) 6.98 6.30 PJM West Hub Implied ATC Heat Rate (mmbtu/MWh) 51.07 60.92 PJM West Hub ATC Price ($/MWh) 6.74 8.85 Henry Hub Gas Price ($/mmBtu) 71,326 72,376 Total Genco Market and Retail Sales (GWhs) (2) 119,354 121,961 Total Genco Sales to Energy Delivery (GWhs) 190,680 194,337 Total Genco Sales Excluding Trading (GWhs) 93.9 93.5 Nuclear Capacity Factor (%) (1) 2006A 2005A (1) Excludes Salem. (2) 2007 actual and 2008 estimate includes Illinois Auction sales. (3) Weather-normalized retail load growth. (4) Excludes results related to investments in synthetic fuel-producing
facilities. (5) Sales to PECO only. Note: 2005, 2006 and 2007 prices are average for the year; 2008 prices reflect
observable prices as of 7/31/07. |
51 FFO Calculation and Ratios FFO Calculation = FFO - PECO Transition Bond Principal Paydown + Gain on Sale, Extraordinary Items and Other Non-Cash Items (3) + Change in Deferred Taxes + Depreciation, amortization (including nucl fuel amortization), AFUDC/Cap. Interest Add back non-cash items: Net Income Adjusted Interest FFO + Adjusted Interest = Adjusted Interest + 7% of Present Value (PV) of Operating Leases + Interest on imputed debt related to PV of Purchased Power Agreements (PPA), unfunded Pension and Other Postretirement Benefits (OPEB) obligations, and Capital Adequacy for Energy Trading (2) , as applicable - PECO Transition Bond Interest Expense Net Interest Expense (Before AFUDC & Cap. Interest) FFO Interest Coverage + Capital Adequacy for Energy Trading (2) FFO = Adjusted Debt + PV of Operating Leases + 100% of PV of Purchased Power Agreements (2) + Unfunded Pension and OPEB obligations (2) + A/R Financing Add off-balance sheet debt equivalents: - PECO Transition Bond Principal Balance + STD + LTD Debt: Adjusted Debt (1) FFO Debt Coverage Rating Agency Capitalization Rating Agency Debt Total Adjusted Capitalization Adjusted Book Debt = Total Rating Agency Capitalization + Off-balance sheet debt equivalents (2) - Goodwill Total Adjusted Capitalization = Rating Agency Debt + ComEd Transition Bond Principal Balance + Off-balance sheet debt equivalents (2) Adjusted Book Debt = Total Adjusted Capitalization + Adjusted Book Debt + Preferred Securities of Subsidiaries + Total Shareholders' Equity Capitalization: = Adjusted Book Debt - Transition Bond Principal Balance + STD + LTD Debt: Debt to Total Cap Note: Reflects S&P guidelines and company forecast. FFO and Debt related to
non-recourse debt are excluded from the calculations. (1) Uses current
year-end adjusted debt balance. (2) Metrics are calculated in
presentation unadjusted and adjusted for debt equivalents and related interest for PPAs, unfunded Pension and OPEB obligations, and Capital Adequacy for Energy Trading. (3) Reflects depreciation adjustment for PPAs and decommissioning interest income and
contributions. |
52 Reconciliation of Net Income to EBITDA GAAP net income (loss) +/- Impact of certain non-operating items Adjusted non-GAAP net income (loss) +/- Cumulative effect of changes in accounting principle +/- Discontinued operations +/- Minority interest + Income taxes Adjusted non-GAAP income (loss) from continuing operations before income taxes and minority interest + Interest expense + Interest expense to affiliates - Interest income from affiliates + Depreciation and amortization Adjusted non-GAAP earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (adjusted non-GAAP EBITDA)
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53 GAAP Earnings Reconciliation Year Ended December 31, 2007 (5) - - - (5) Settlement of a Tax Matter at Generation Related to Sithe 72 - - - 72 Georgia Power Tolling Agreement (130) - - - (130) Termination of State Line PPA 14 - - 14 - City of Chicago Settlement (11) - - - (11) Sale of Generations investments in TEG and TEP $(115) (63) - - (87) - $35 Other $2,923 (29) 280 (18) (87) 101 $2,736 Exelon $507 - - - - - $507 PECO $200 - 24 - - (3) $165 ComEd ExGen (in millions) 256 2007 Illinois Electric Rate Settlement (18) Nuclear decommissioning obligation reduction $2,331 2007 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings (Loss) 34 Non-Cash Deferred Tax Items - Investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities 104 Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities $2,029 2007 GAAP Reported Earnings (Loss) Note: Amounts may not add due to rounding. |
54 (1) Amounts shown per Exelon share and represent contributions to Exelon's EPS. (0.01) - - - (0.01) Settlement of a tax matter at Generation related to Sithe (0.04) (0.08) - - 0.04 Non-cash deferred tax items (0.14) (0.14) - - - Investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities 0.41 - - 0.03 0.38 2007 Illinois electric rate settlement (0.19) - - - (0.19) Termination of State Line PPA 0.11 - - - 0.11 Georgia Power tolling agreement Exelon Other (1) PECO (1) ComEd (1) ExGen (1) $4.32 $(0.18) $0.75 $0.30 $3.45 2007 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings (Loss) Per Share (0.01) - - - (0.01) Sale of Generation's investments in TEG and TEP 0.02 - - 0.02 - City of Chicago settlement (0.03) - - - (0.03) Nuclear decommissioning obligation reduction 0.15 - - - 0.15 Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities $4.05 $0.04 $0.75 $0.25 $3.01 2007 GAAP Earnings Per Share GAAP EPS Reconciliation Year Ended December 31, 2007 |
55 2008 Earnings Outlook Exelons outlook for 2008 adjusted (non-GAAP) operating earnings excludes the earnings impacts of the following: mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities unrealized gains and losses from nuclear decommissioning trust fund investments significant impairments of intangible assets, including goodwill significant changes in decommissioning obligation estimates costs associated with the Illinois electric rate settlement, including ComEds
previously announced customer rate relief programs costs associated with ComEds settlement with the City of Chicago other unusual items significant future changes to GAAP Both our operating earnings and GAAP earnings guidance are based on the assumption of normal weather |
56 Exelon Investor Relations Contacts Inquiries concerning this presentation should be directed to: Exelon Investor Relations 10 South Dearborn Street Chicago, Illinois 60603 312-394-2345 312-394-4082 (Fax) For copies of other presentations, annual/quarterly reports, or to be added to our email distribution list please contact: Felicia McGowan, Executive Admin Coordinator 312-394-4069 Felicia.McGowan@ExelonCorp.com Investor Relations Contacts: Chaka Patterson, Vice President 312-394-7234 Chaka.Patterson@ExelonCorp.com Karie Anderson, Director 312-394-4255 Karie.Anderson@ExelonCorp.com Marybeth Flater, Manager 312-394-8354 Marybeth.Flater@ExelonCorp.com Len Epelbaum, Principal Analyst 312-394-7356 Len.Epelbaum@ExelonCorp.com |